June 17, 2011 Leave a comment
Physics, math and maybe even God say if you toss a coin the odds of getting either heads or tails are 50/50. I recommend you to do it. Not only once or twice, but something like, 15 or 17 times. Now I want you to toss the coin as many times as it takes, so you can get heads 15 times in the 17 tosses.
Might take a while, no? I’m not math genius, but I believe it is hard as hell to get this done.
Exactly. But that’s the number of times Federer – oscillating between the seeds 1, 2 and 3 – and Djokovic – 2 and 3 – were drawn in the same half at a Grand Slam since 2007 (when Nole rose to #3). In case you have already forgotten, Nadal and Djokovic were set to play SFs only three times, twice in Roland Garros (most recently last year) and once at the US Open (2007).
I know, nobody wants a possible Fedal clash spoiled by a nosy Serbian. But it is random made, of course.
And what about the three consecutive times – Indian Wells, Miami and Estoril – Söderling and Del Potro were drawn in the same section? Random made, of course. And the two times Raonic and Verdasco met consecutively? In Memphis, the draw was made before their final. And the back-to-back clay meetings? But let’s not come back in time so much. Only clarifying, all random made, of course.
Shall we talk about WTA a bit? Jankovic (when she was a top-8 seed) and Wozniacki were expected to meet a lot in quarterfinals earlier this year, no? Randomly expected, of course. Then Goerges, after beating Caro in Stuttgart, was placed in her section of the draw at three subsequent events – Madrid (Julia won again), RG (both lost before) and now Wimbledon. Randomly, of course.
And Serena/Venus? Just returning, entered two tournaments. The first, this week, both as unseeded sleepers in a 32-player draw. The second, the Championships they rule, this time both seeded among other 126 women. I could bet somebody else’s shiny white ass they wouldn’t be drawn in the same half. I would have won, by the way. Because I understand how ‘Random made’ works.
And what are the odds three players are put in the same section for consecutive tournaments? Tell Wickmayer, Dulgheru and Kuznetsova, who shared the same room in Rosmalen and now at Wimbledon. I don’t believe this was randomly made, though. This one I believe was deliberately handmade with fun intentions.
Closing this one, the biggest example of what Random Made means. I mean, really. This is textbook Random Made.
Isner and Mahut. Two unsuspected heroes who now have their names carved forever in the stone books of the sport. The chances, being them both unseeded, to play each other again in the Round 1, at the very same Grand Slam, after all that hype, marathon and pain of last year? Roughly 0,7%. But if it is over 0, there is always the possibility.
And if there is one thing we know about tennis draws is: randomness allows everything.
Isner vs. Mahut again, that is.
One hundred per cent random made.